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International Journal of Business Studies and Innovation
ISSN:2737-5331
Frequency: Quarterly Published by lIKll


Open Access
 IJBSI 2021/12
Vol.1, Iss.2 : 84-93
https://doi.org/10.35745/ijbsi2021v01.02.0010

Empirical Analysis of Rational Expectation and Permanent Income Hypothesis in Lagos State, Nigeria


Abiodun Musbaudeen1, Daniel Barkley2* and Jing Wang2

1Economics On The Move (EOTM), United States
2Xiamen University, China

Received:N/A; Revised:N/A; Accepted:N/A; Published:December 30, 2021
Abstract:
This study empirically analyses the rational expectation and permanent income hypothesis (PIH) in Lagos State, Nigeria using the ordinary least square method to estimate the long-run relationship and parsimonious error correction model to estimate short-run impacts. Our findings show that permanent income influences permanent monthly consumption in the short and long run but permanent monthly income does not impact temporary monthly consumption both in the short and long run. Financial regulation may be necessary to prevent a significant fall in the value of the portfolio of asset holdings by Lagos residents.

Keywords:  Rational Expectation, Consumption, Permanent Income Hypothesis, Parsimonious Error Correction, Lagos State, Lagos Consumption Pattern, Lagos Resident

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*Corresponding author; e-mail: Barkley@xujc.com


Citation:Musbaudeen, A., & Barkley, D., & Wang, J.(2021). Empirical Analysis of Rational Expectation and Permanent Income Hypothesis in Lagos State, Nigeria. International Journal of Business Studies and Innovation, 1(2), 84-93. https://doi.org/10.35745/ijbsi2021v01.02.0010

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Copyright: © 2021  The Author(s). Published with license by IIKII, Singapore. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
 

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